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Need Estimation of Difficulty after Introduction of D3...

Discussion in 'Mining' started by Newminer, Jul 29, 2017.

  1. Newminer

    Newminer New Member

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    Hi there,
    I am new in mining and new in DASH. 2 weeks ago we could buy some Baikal Giant plus at very good Prices. It didn't last long, as with the introduction of the Antminer d3 it seems the game will change soon. I am playing with many numbers on mining calculators, based on the arrival of these super asic miners. Does anyone have an idea or estimation how fast DASH Difficulty will rise? I am entereing numbers of 3m (3000000) or more starting at the beginning of october. Do you think this is realistic? Or will it be much more? And per when do you think difficulty will rise dramatically. Woud appreciate your opinion. Thank you. NM
     
  2. Stubby5000

    Stubby5000 New Member

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    sadly, this is an unanswerable question, sans crystal ball.
     
  3. juvx

    juvx New Member

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    This would be awesome to know but very hard to predict. Personally im bring online 380 GH Oct 10-15.
     
  4. Mr.MeatyCoins

    Mr.MeatyCoins New Member

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    After the network hashrate will explode and the it'll be more difficult to mine Dash, i would say rising prices is the least of your concerns. And i seriously hope not that many people buy the D3 because i pray to god every day this will be my golden ticket to living a plentiful life with relatively no stress
     
  5. chandu141

    chandu141 New Member

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    We can't predict the difficulty , we can only victimise the difficulty by checking the charts after Antminer D3's hits the pools.

    Imo at a rough calculations by watching difficulty trends, the difficulty will increase at 2X rate for every month.

    Once 1st batch of Antminer D3 hits the pools by the end of Oct as per the market, we can get in to more predictions how the Difficulty rate can grow.
     
  6. bezman

    bezman New Member

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    Hello all
    I have used coin wars calculator and adjusted the figures and pretty much doubled the difficulty (to 1,000,000) and cut the hash rate down (to 12,000mhs) and it works out to $39,173.49/year
    Not the ridiculous 50-75k the calculator shows by default. I'm cool with anywhere between 15-25k/year to be very honest..

    I was talked out of mining bitcoin a year ago with the same hash rate argument, but my friends who are still mining are quite happy, as mining became more difficult the price went up. I know dash may not have the same explosive growth, but i do believe once you get your miners up and running before year end, you should get ROI in 2-4 months depending on your setup and I also think the mining pools will develop scripts that allow you to mine alt coins etc.

    I also think that if bit main etc already turned on 100,000 of these already we would see the difficulty skyrocket already.

    I got my D3 directly from bit main (actually just email support and 'Leo' simply replied saying they had a batch for sale and sent the link) and i got through without any problems at all. I was kinda shocked to be honest from all the stories i read. I'm in the Nov batch, so best of luck to all who get up and running before me :)
     
  7. Mr.MeatyCoins

    Mr.MeatyCoins New Member

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    This is nothing if you take into account that the 1mil threshold was already reached on August 15th, even so the difficulty will only see a steady increase. Albeit it lasted just for a couple of hours, as other people have noted, the difficulty can increase twice each month, meaning by beginning of December the difficulty could be as high as 4mil, meaning not even 1k $ profit if you're unlucky enough to end up with a 10-11 MH/s batch
     
  8. bezman

    bezman New Member

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    Good point and noted. (well worse scenario sell it on eBay :p)
    I'll wait and see, because for the ~0.37 BTC spent, if can make ~2 btc back in a year (and if btc price goes to 5-7k) i'll be smiling.
     
  9. bezman

    bezman New Member

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    I'm more depressed I cashed in some of my NEO profits to buy the miner lol :p
     
  10. chandu141

    chandu141 New Member

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    When i checked Coin wars exactly 1 week back before by knowing Antminers D3 at 15 Gh rate one could earn approx $13K/m at a difficulty rate of 3,00,000 :cool:

    and ordered a D3 OCT batch :cool:
    Now today after 1 week and after 3 more batch releases ( not sure how many D3's have been sold and and still up for sale) if you check the difficulty rate - it's 8,88,467 which can earn you only around $4.5k/m .. so the profits reduced by 3X even before the 1st batch of D3 started to hit pools. :eek:
    imagine the difficulty , when All 1 st batch of Antminer D3 hits pools ?? then we might get the result what we are trying to calculate o_O
    It can be around 1,00,00,000 just a guess but not sure until we know the total stock sold. so at 1,00,00,000 we hardly make $300/m so the first batch ROI may be 8 months or 1 year. :mad:

    I also bought Antminer D3 OCT batch and i really hope difficulty not to go like this as my predictions :oops:
     
  11. roiei007

    roiei007 New Member

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    Ohh wow, that's great for you :)
    Your batch was 1-15 of November?

    Thanks.
     
  12. chandu141

    chandu141 New Member

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    No my batch is 15-25 OCT
     
  13. Lulu

    Lulu New Member

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    I bought a D3 for Nov 24-30 it's dead for profitability it would mean? But the D3 makes X11, there will be opportunity to miner other money in X11 no?
     
  14. chandu141

    chandu141 New Member

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    it's hard to estimate the difficulty, we can estimate once the 1st batch hits the pools.

    Yes, you can mine any X11 coin.
     
  15. Lulu

    Lulu New Member

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    Thank you for your reply. Yes it is difficult to know how much miner will turn in 3 months. But as we can undermine X11. I would like to say that the Dash is not the only crypto with a small ROI. Currently it's MUE ($ 6,278.47) 8day you also have CANN ($ 5,322.89) 10day, and other X11 that are interesting, you think this will have an impact on all X11? The difficulty is minimal on the other crypto
     
  16. chandu141

    chandu141 New Member

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    D3 will definitely impact on all X11 coins on their difficulty concept but imo it may or may not effect on the price.
     
  17. gshenusa

    gshenusa New Member

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    Difficulty will rise to about 2X depending on various factors, once the D3's hit the pools then it will be much more easy to predict but it's least of your worries brother
     
  18. Lulu

    Lulu New Member

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    that is to say ?

    Not too understood, so for you the difficulty without knowing too much where it will go, Currently the Diff of the dash is 902095.078 for 27.60 Th / s NetHash It seems to me that the last batch was 14 000 pieces is this true? Or intox? I see a lot of forum, discord say it. I invested without thinking but I'm not disappointed if the diff on add 3M, the ROI will be 45day for $ 1100 a month.
     
  19. wndsnb

    wndsnb New Member

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    14000 * 15GHash/sec = 210 THash/sec, or about 10X the current Dash network hashrate. Add in the other batches from Bitmain and others and all we can do is just hope that the price goes up enough to keep it profitable...

    Safe to say that a 45 day ROI is about as likely as getting hit by lighting.
     
  20. hvalentino

    hvalentino New Member

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    so we can mine any X11 coins with D3??
     
  21. Lulu

    Lulu New Member

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    yes, you can, just setup ur pool and account
     
  22. hvalentino

    hvalentino New Member

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    What are other X11 that profitable to mine?
     
  23. Lulu

    Lulu New Member

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    MUE, CANN more profitable

    http://prntscr.com/gbg7fq

    Currently this may change in a few months with diff
     
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  24. Porotrader

    Porotrader New Member

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    This topic is very interesting for those who are looking for investment option of D3 November batch. For the two first batches, it'll surely be very profitable regardless of the diff level. For the 3rd batch, maybe a profit of 50 usd/d is still attractive and worth a consideration.
     
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  25. Bobb

    Bobb New Member

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    Huh? Someone is selling Nov batch? Tell me more